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UiPath pursues one of the biggest software IPOs ever as investors rotate out of cloud stocks

  • UiPath raised its expected IPO price range to $52 to $54 a share, which is still below the $62.28 that private investors paid in a February financing round.
  • Even at that lower priced, UiPath would be valued at $28 billion and have a price-to-sales multiple that's second only to Snowflake among public cloud companies.
  • Revenue climbed 81% to $607.6 million in the fiscal year that ended in January.

UiPath co-founder and CEO Daniel DinesUiPath

UiPath's New York Stock Exchange debut scheduled for Wednesday will mark one of the biggest software IPOs in U.S. history and will be the most hyped first trade for cloud investors since Snowflake went public in September.

But the company, whose software helps businesses automate office tasks, has to contend with escalating investor concern over frothy valuations and a market rotation away from high-growth tech.

In recent years, cloud has been a can't-miss bet. From Zoom's skyrocketing popularity after its 2019 IPO and Shopify's growth in e-commerce, to surging demand for cloud security tools sold by Zscaler and CrowdStrike, investors now have an extensive roster of large-cap names for their portfolio.

In 2020, the WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund, consisting of 58 publicly traded cloud software vendors, more than doubled, while the Nasdaq rose 44% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained just 7.2%

Heading into UiPath's IPO, there's been a notable shift in the trend, as investors gravitate to stocks that have a perceived advantage should interest rates keep rising. The cloud index has dropped more than 7% this year while the Dow has climbed over 10%, outperforming the other major U.S. benchmarks.

Cloud stocks have underperformed this yearCNBC

Jake Dollarhide, CEO of Longbow Asset Management, said that while he remains bullish on cloud stocks over the long run, sentiment has unquestionably soured. Part of that, he said, has to do with the economy reopening and uncertainty about whether businesses will pull back on their cloud spending when they return to the office. There's also a sense of market saturation among investors because so many cloud vendors have gone public lately, he said.

"The cloud pre-pandemic was like a Tesla — it was new and hot," Dollarhide said. "Coming out of the pandemic, it's like the Model T. It's become so ubiquitous."

Based solely on its financial metrics, UiPath is hitting the market at the right time. Revenue surged 81% last year to $607.6 million, and the company's loss narrowed to $92.4 million from $519.9 million in 2019. The company's gross margin of 89% is eye-popping even for software.

However, UiPath's updated IPO price range this week of $52 to $54 a share values the company around $28 billion, which is down from $62.28 a share, or a valuation of $35 billion, in a financing round at the beginning of February.

The stock could still open well above that level. UiPath may have set the price range low in order to show growing enthusiasm by raising its offer price, and bankers may be taking a conservative approach to leave room for a stock pop.

Even if it prices at $54, UiPath is staring at a steep multiple relative to almost all of its peers. At that price, the stock would trade for about 50 times annualized revenue, which would be second among cloud stocks to Snowflake and be about double Zoom's ratio.

It would also be a mammoth offering, reeling in $1.48 billion, assuming the underwriters purchase their allotted shares. According to FactSet, only two business software IPOs in the U.S. have ever surpassed that mark and both have taken place in the last seven months. Cloud database vendor Snowflake was the largest, raising $3.9 billion in September, followed by Qualtrics, which raised $1.78 billion in January, after spinning out of SAP.


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