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The Alabama upset gives Democrats a path to reclaim the Senate and House

  • President Trump remains the least popular first-year chief executive in the history of polling, which is endangering his party.
  • The balance of electoral mobilization has shifted in favor of Democrats. Minorities and white liberals opposed to Trump have recovered energy they once applied to supporting Obama.
  • Results in House special elections and Alabama's Senate race show an average net shift of 16 percentage points in the Democrats' direction.

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