Tuesday, November 28, 2023
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Dollar extends gains on yen after retail sales data

Stronger-than-expected December U.S. retail sales data and a record Japanese current account deficit helped push the U.S. dollar higher against the yen on Tuesday while mixed signals among European central bankers kept the euro in check.

The greenback rebounded after two days of losses, backed by a report showing U.S. consumers spent more than expected in December which contrasted against last week's weak U.S. jobs report.

Apart from the jobs data, the prospects of the U.S. economy having gained steam in the fourth quarter were bolstered by the retail sales data and news of an increase in business inventories in November.

Stronger economic performance bolsters the case for the to continue scaling back its extraordinary efforts to boost the economy and let it run on its own steam.

Sha Ying | CNBC

Most banks see a strong case for the dollar to rise this year, given the contrasting outlooks for monetary policy in the United States compared with Europe and Japan, whose central banks are still considering more moves to support growth.

That suggests that a sell-off on Wall Street and of the dollar since weak employment data last Friday may just be a corrective pause that clears the way for gains, though the jury is still very much out.

The U.S. Commerce Department said on Tuesday retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services – or core retail sales – increased 0.7 percent last month versus a consensus estimate for a 0.3 percent rise. November data was however revised lower.

In Tokyo, the government reported a record current account deficit in November as a bulging trade deficit weighed on the country's balance of payments.

The traded up 0.7 percent to 103.71 yen, recovering after a more than 1 percent drop on Monday that saw it hit a roughly one-month low of 102.85 yen.


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