Friday, March 1, 2024
Homefutures and commoditiesGold ends higher as traders assess lower US jobless rate

Gold ends higher as traders assess lower US jobless rate

Gold ended higher on Friday but failed to retain stronger gains made after softer-than-expected U.S. monthly payrolls data as investors focused on a drop in the U.S. unemployment rate to its lowest since 2008, which lifted stock markets.

Data showed U.S. employers hired far fewer workers than expected last month—nonfarm payrolls rose by 113,000, well below the consensus of 185,000—although the unemployment rate hit a five-year low of 6.6 percent.

"The nonfarm payrolls came in weak, though it was still a slight improvement from December. But the unemployment rate dropped just above that 6.5 percent the Fed is looking for," VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said.

"Now, the Fed are not going to change their forward guidance … because they realize that inflation pressures are not there yet," he added. "However, from an investor point of view, this still suggests a strong dollar going forward."

(Read more: Not only weather to blame for 'weird' jobs report)

Spot gold rose as much as 1.2 percent to a session high of $1,271.70 an ounce after the jobs release before paring most of its gains.

It was last up 0.6 percent at $1,265 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures for April delivery settled $5.70 higher at $1,262.90 an ounce.

"Gold tried a lot of times in January to break above $1,270 and has never had a sustained close above that level. I think the longer we stay below $1,270, the more chances we have to tumble significantly," Kryuchenkov said.

Chart: Precious Metals

European stocks bounced back after an immediate negative reaction to the data, which is seen as a key gauge of the U.S. labor market.

Gold prices have risen around 5 percent since the beginning of the year and were set for their biggest weekly gain in five.

Investors, however, continue to regard recent mixed economic data in the United States and emerging-market turmoil as insufficient to derail the global recovery.

This makes the investment case for gold, usually seen as a safe haven in times of trouble, still unattractive.

"Even with a disappointing (U.S. nonfarm payrolls) number, the trend of selling into the rally remains in place," Mitsubishi Corp analyst Jonathan Butler said.

Markets in China, the world's biggest gold consumer, opened on Friday after a week-long Lunar New Year holiday, boosting volumes that had thinned during Asian hours in the past days.

Premiums for 99.99 percent purity gold, the most-active spot contract on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, climbed to nearly $11 an ounce over London prices on Friday.

They were about $4 last Thursday, just before China went on holiday.

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